It indicates that Victoria is likely to experience a less severe bushfire season this summer compared to last summer – particularly in the east of the state.
The outlook is due to average to above average rainfall during spring, combined with an outlook of above average rainfall for much of Victoria from December to February, particularly across the northern parts and mountain regions, due to the influence of La Niña.
Considering the outlook and current conditions, the fire season has the potential to be a grassfire-dominated season, with shorter-duration fires in grass and dry forests during hotter and windier days.
Potential for above-normal grassfire activity has been flagged for north-east border areas in December, due to the heavy grass and crop fuels prior to harvest.
Some Victorian forests may remain damp enough to experience average to below-average fire activity.
CFA reminds Victorians not to be complacent as an average fire season in this state can still be a bad one.
CFA District 6 Assistant Chief Fire Officer (ACFO) Craig Brittain said the available fuel loads across the District are drying rapidly, meaning the risk of fires in the landscape are of a real concern.
“Reducing fuel loads will ensure if a fire does break out, it has less chance of taking hold or spreading,” said ACFO Brittain. “However, we as a community, should be ensuring that fires do not occur in the first place.”
“While CFA and our partner agencies Fire Rescue Victoria and Forest Fire Management Victoria are doing everything we can to prepare for the bushfire season, we look to the community to use common sense and take responsibility for preventing fires.”